Atlanta Falcons Shock NFL Draft: Michael Penix Jr. Chosen Over Defensive Standouts…
Quarterback Michael Penix Jr., an Atlanta Falcons first-round draft selection, talks at a press conference on Friday, April 26, 2024, in Flowery Branch, Georgia. (Photo by John Bazemore/AP) • The Falcons prioritise having a quarterback succession plan above all other options. In other words, Atlanta is selecting a quarterback succession plan over any one player at No. 8 overall. That’s not weird, but it’s definitely unique. The Green Bay Packers have found success using a similar tactic: they have chosen their future quarterback in the first round twice in a row, years before they needed to use him on the field, and they have witnessed his success come right away when they finally made the switch. • Create your own mock draft by using PFF’s Mock Draft Simulator. You can trade players and picks to create a mock draft for your preferred NFL team. 6 minutes is the estimated reading time. For other draft tools, go here: 2024 Player Profiles, 2024 Mock Drafts, 2024 Draft Guide, 2024 Mock Draft Simulator, and 2024 NCAA Premium Stats After signing Kirk Cousins to a $180 million contract only weeks prior, the Atlanta Falcons made one of the most surprising draft selections in NFL history when they selected Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. at No. 8 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Taking into account all of the different factors involved, the move is unusual. The choice was heavily criticised, and most analysts gave the Falcons the lowest selection marks since even astute NFL assessors could not find any sense in the strategy. I’m not here to support the move in and of itself, but rather to point out that it isn’t foolish or nonsensical. The team’s approach is highly realistic and consistent with previous decisions they have made. One complaint was that, although he was the fifth-best quarterback, Michael Penix Jr. was rated 31st on the consensus big board. He was chosen by Atlanta 23 spots ahead of his big board rank as the fourth quarterback off the board. In general, teams that deviate from the consensus board have a poor track record, and players who are designated “reaches” usually perform worse than those whose ranks on the consensus board align with them. But this was no ordinary draft, with Penix obviously rated higher by the Falcons than the majority of other players. The fact that they don’t seem to have been alone in that regard is crucial, though. It appears that at least some NFL evaluators think Penix is a better prospect than the consensus board because several other teams have reportedly placed Penix at the top of their prospect rankings. The Falcons weren’t acting alone in this situation. Before the national championship game, he was even listed in that vicinity, according to the draft narrative about his stock. Following Penix’s College Football Playoff victory over Texas, there was buzz that he was suddenly a mid-first-round prospect who might break into the top 10 by April. After that, Michigan steamrolled Washington, and over the next four hours, his reputation took a complete nosedive. […]